Re: what’s the motivation to buy C.R.E? - Posted by Frank Chin
Posted by Frank Chin on August 18, 2010 at 12:19:34:
It’s different strokes for different folks. Based on your returns, you are a cash flow investor.
People buy commercial real estate for various reasons, and for many, good cash flow is not one them.
My dad fell into commercial real estate quite by accident. He owned a business, and back in the early 1960’s, he noticed some businesses were forced to close, and many others struggling because of rent increases. The building where his business was located was first sold to an investor, and a year or two later, he offered this investor 10% more that what the investor paid for it, and took over the building.
As I learned later, many smaller properties are bought by users, businesses that use the space they own, to control costs, and making 7.5% return on the property or more is not one of them. For people like you, you are competing against the user-investors.
As years went by, commercial rents escalated, and went up much faster than residential rents, he was quite pleased, as other competitors struggled, raised prices, he was able to profit nicely, due to the fact that his “fixed rate mortgage of 5%” remained constant, and his business did tremendously well as he did not have to worry about rent increases.
He bought the building in 1963, and store rents at the time went for $250.00. By 1980, store rents was in the $1,000 to $1,500 range, and he had another store besides his own that he rents out. He was getting tired from the business, so I talked him into retiring, just collecting the rent. In 1980, the building was paid off, with two stores, he makes $3,000/month rent from the stores, an apartment upstairs went for $800, and more rent from 4 garages.
Another advantage of commercial real estate became apparent. With stores, the store owner do all the maintenance, pay his real estate taxes, pays the heat. With a good businesses, you don’t have tenants moving out evey two years either. In the winter time, he didn’t have to shovel the snow as I have to for my 2 and 3 family houses.
To summarize, commercial real estate is easier to manage.
In this period, commercial rents rose a lot faster than residential rents, more than twice as fast, and consequently, the value of commercial real estate went up twice as much. In 1963, he paid $25K for the property. He had an offer of $250K for it in 1980, a 10 fold increase.
Residential properties did not go up ten fold between 1963 and 1980 in the area, though it went up 4 to 5 fold, not bad either.
Why did commercial rents go up so fast??
A friend of mine who pumped gas for his uncle while paying his way through college told me why. In one year while he was working there, all the gas stations registered a 25% increase in the volume of gas sold. It turned the econmic activity of the area was exploding.
In five years, everyone’s volume doubled.
I was talking to him, and it occurred to me the population in my dad’s area increased tremendously as well, with new construction, businesses going in. In fact, the amount of commercial space in the built up area remained static, and my dad in fact had businesses chased out of more expensive areas because of high rents, coming by beggging him to rent his store, if he can only get the current tenant to leave.
Now, commercial real estate in built up areas are high, so the returns are low. The trick here to is to see where the population growth is, move ahead of the curve, and be where my dad was in 1963. To do this, you would have to study the census data, macro economic trends.
This is a completely different animal than cash flowing from residential rentals.