SFR Positive Cash Flow Question - Posted by Eric - GA

Posted by Ronald * Starr(in No CA) on December 20, 2002 at 23:29:42:

James Strange-----------

Thanks for the feedback. I am happy that you found some material that you appreciate. I suspect it will help you some as you go along in real estate investing.

I like the discussion of his experiences with his guru rating page. That may be because I am very interested in real estate education and trying to understand what can be done to help beginners learn the reality of real estate. What can I say? We have somewhat different reactions to some of the sections.

You’ll notice that in his justification for his website that he expresses the opinion that he would sell more books if he took it off. A lot of people are turned off by his “negativity” and his “slamming” other gurus he says and some of them might buy his materials if they did not read his “do not recommend” ratings for some of their favorite gurus. From some peoples’ reactions to that section, his view makes a lot of sense to me. So, if he really wanted to maximize his sales, he would take down the guru rating sectiion. Or at least the negative ones. Which of course is the opposite of what he has done. And people still continue to berate him as using his negative ratings to build up his own sales. And, when I ask his critic why jack then puts in the “does recommend” ratings, which sounds like it should take sales from him to those positively-rated gurus, there is no response.

The only thing I have figured out so far is that some people are unsure of their ability to be successful in real estate investing. So they need to constantly hear only positive things about real estate investing and about the gurus who they hope are leading them to the promised land of ample money from real estate. Thus, they worry that their dreams might fade away and they might fail as investors if they find out that some of the gurus are liars. So, since Jack is “negative” about the promisers of great wealth, the readers dislike Jack–they feel their wealthy future is threatened by his views or news.

Now, there is some rational criticism of Jack, I feel. That is that some of the people he rates “do not recommend” are not as bad as he indicates. I think that is probably so. However, an awfully lot of his “do not recommend” ratings are, in my opinion, right on the money. I think he usually indicates the basis for his negative view. So it is possible for the reader to judge for him/herself the solidity of the rating and thus the probable value of the rating.

I feel that he does a service to those who read his website for free.

Good Investing and Good Studying*Ron Starr

SFR Positive Cash Flow Question - Posted by Eric - GA

Posted by Eric - GA on December 19, 2002 at 17:32:02:

I’ve done only flips and L/O’s (successfully), but want to eventually have a rental empire. I’ve been reading johntreed.com and he describes that positive cash flow is much harder to obtain than I would think, mainly because he attests that it is nearly impossible to keep your operating expenses below 45% of gross income.

Those of you who have rental properties of your own, please comment on whether this is the level of operating expenses that you have. Are your properties REALLY cash flow positive?

John Reed makes positive cash flow sound like the impossible journey.

Eric - GA

Lease/options increase cash flow - Posted by randyOH

Posted by randyOH on December 20, 2002 at 11:57:53:

Eric,
I just started doing lease/options about a year ago and I am very pleased with the results so far. It seems to be a good way to increase cash flow in the following ways:

  1. You can get a slightly higher rent.

  2. You can have the tenant pay for repairs.

  3. Less management problems means you may be able to eliminate your property manager. I did.

  4. Lower vacancy rate.

  5. 3 - 5% option fee you receive when the tenant moves in increases your cash flow rather dramatically.

And I really don’t see much downside as compared to straight rentals. You could argue that you don’t get the long-term equity build-up, but I question whether that is really true. A lot of the tenants do not exercise their options. And even when they do, you are getting a premium price with no realtor commission. I use a two-year option period. So I can’t see where I am losing much, if any, equity build-up.

Something to think about if you want to increase your cash flow.
Good luck,
Randy

Positive Cash Flow Question - Posted by ken in sc

Posted by ken in sc on December 20, 2002 at 07:40:40:

Eric,

Ron Starrs post gave you some great info and a lot to think about. I have a lot of rentals and also manage for others. Our houses prices here are just a little higher than what you have. Here are some basic rules:

  1. 45% is a good rule of thumb but does include management of about 10%, so 35% if you manage your own.

  2. 35% may be short on a small or low income house as it is a percentage of such a small number, likewise it may be ample on a large, high dollar house.

  3. As Ron says, older houses have more maintenance. I have some houses I bought when they were 3-4 years old and I have had very little maintenance for the last 4 years.

  4. And finally, when I started I bought trying to break even cash flow because the books I read said that rents would go up but payments would stay the same, resulting in cash flow in a few years. Well, with insurance and taxes rising as they have, some of those houses are still break even 8-9 years later. So I have great equity but no cash flow. If I had to do it all over again, I would factor in a 50% ratio. Thay way I would have cash flow from day one. I might not own as many houses, but I would make more money while I managed them waiting on when they are paid off. Managing houses for future income can get tiring!

Wishing you success-

Ken

SFHs–Costs, Income, and an oxymoron? - Posted by Ronald * Starr (in No CA)

Posted by Ronald * Starr (in No CA) on December 19, 2002 at 21:51:40:

Eric–(GA)-----------

It can be difficult to get positive cash flow single family properties, depending upon the type of property you have and the location, which determines prices and rents.

The 45% figure is a general rule of thumb and is, I think a little conservative. However, even saying that, there can be properties with greater than 45% expenses at times.

If you manage the properties yourself and don’t consider what you pay yourself for the management, you can probably do it for about 30-35% or a little more. The expenses are sometimes “lumpy”–coming in chunks rather than a certain amount each month. So, you can go for many months with few expenses and then have a big bill to pay all at once.

The National Association of Realtors has a sub-group for property management, called the Institute of (or “for”?) Real Estate Management–IREM, located in Chicago. The organization gathers statistics on expenses of apartment complexes for something like 150 cities around the country each year. They have totals and categories broken out by cost per square foot and by % of revenue for three categories of apartments: Garden, Low-rise, and high-rise. They show the high, low, and middle values for actual apartment complexes in each city. It is a very valuable resource for studying costs. They publish it in a book which they send to their members. You might be able to find some property nanagement firm in your area which has a copy of a recent issue and will let you look at it. The IREM also will fax you the page for a individual city for a fee, $5 last time I knew.

I know of no source of similiar information for single family residences. So their statistics are about as good as you are likely to find, I would guess.

I tend to think that single family houses do not require quite as much maintenance as multi-families, but I don’t have personal experience for that comparison. But some of us just prefer single family investments and some, who want more cash flow for their investments, gravitate to multi-family properties.

There are a lot of factors that effect the overall cost of operating a property—whether multifamily or single. Here are some that come to mind immediately. Turnover-llow turnove is good, high turnover is bad. Type and quality of construction–some properties are just better designed and some better built. Age–older usually require more work and it may be difficult (hence expensive) to find replacement parts for doors, windows, appliances, etc. Prior maintenance–if there is deferred maintenance, it might take a while to get a property up to rentable conditiion, and money, too. Ongoing preventive maintenance. If you go through the property three or four times a year, you can spot problems as they are developing and fix them so that they do not become bigger and more costly. Also, the repairs can be done at your liesure or when a service person is readily available, thus cutting down on emergency calls at high rates (Oh yes well I remember the flooded house on a national holiday. Well, maybe not too well as I don’t remember if it was Labor Day or Memorial Day.) Whether you do the repairs or call in high-priced professionals, such as plumbers and electricians.

Then their is the “cheapskate factors.” Buying parts at the flea markets on the weekends, even when you don’t need them right away. Being organized enough to find the bargain parts you bought at the fleamarket 29 months earlier. Buying paint when it is on sale. Buying the “opps” or “mis-mixed” paints for $3-5 a gallon. (Not good for interiors unless you are going to sell the house, but good for exteriors.)

Tenant selection–some are hard on the house, some are not. Possibly neighborhood–low-end neighborhoods may cost more if you get your house vandalized while it is vacant–usually does not happen in higher-priced areas, I believe–although my experience is limited in the average and above average neighborhoods.

Oh, and I don’t understand where James Strange is coming from. Jack Reed has a lot of good information about managing properties. You are smart, in my opinion, to read what he says. Maybe he just dislikes Jack and was taking an opportunity to put in a potshot at Jack.

Now there is a curvilinear relationship between the value of a house and the rent you can get for it, with higher-cost houses getting lower rents as a percent of the value of the property. Hypothetical examples (not too far from reality): $25K houses rent for $350-$400 a month. $50K ones for about $500. $100K houses bring in maybe $800 a month. $200K gets you $1400 perhaps. $400K gets you–well, I haven’t owned one, so I’d guess maybe $2500-2800. So, to get the highest rents, below-average neighborhoods are where it is at. However, some people do not like to own properties in the poorer parts of town. I recommend buying in as low down a neighborhood as you can stand to own in. Most of my curent and previous rentals have been in below-average neighborhoods and below-below average neighbhoods.

Since loan costs can be the biggest on-going expense, if you can cut that down, you will help your bottom line. That is why people like to have low-interest owner-carry loans and why some of us buy properties at bargain prices, to have low (or no) loan costs.

Your management can also influence things. A good property manager should be pretty hard-nosed, otherwise s/he will not collect all the rents due and may not kick out destructive renters before there is significant damage. (Speaking with the voice of experience here, you bet.) Not getting out non-paying renters is a big blow to the cash flow, I can tell you.

It can be a struggle to get good positive cash flow from single families. That is why many property owners get a reputation for not spending money to keep up their properties, I feel. And the reputation is not undeserved.

Oh, and I encourage you to not just look at cash flow. There are three categories of financial benefit of owning long-term rental proeprties, remembered by thinking “CAT”–you want to make your CAT fat. C= Cash flow, A= Appreciation, and T= Tax benefits. There tends to be a trade-off between cash flow and appreciation.

Here in Coastal CA, where I live, it is extremely difficult to find properties that will have positive cash flow, especially single family homes. But, those who bought years ago are not complaining, the appreciation here has been spectacular. And has encouraged what people call “speculation,” driving prices up to the point that the cash flows are negative.

In contrast, in OK, where I invest for cash flow, it seems to me that prices are about the same now as they were in 1990. That is impressionistic, not based on statistics. But, I am sure that the appreciation is not much. So, if you seek maximum positive cash flow, you might want to invest somewhere other than where you live, it there is not good cash flow there.

But you might also consider that owning properties with not-good-enough cash flow might lead you to tremendous appreciate profits down the line. My impression is that, where there is some reasonable appreciation and you have big loans on your properties, you will make far more money on appreciation than you take out as cash flow. Of course, when you get the money is a factor, as you can figure out if you do some sort of discounted cash flow analysis.

Actually, when you think about it, positive cash flow single family houses are pretty much an oxymoron. You have to charge more rent than the costs of ownership. But, if the renters bought a house like your rental property, they would only have to pay the costs of ownership. Thus, it costs more to rent than to own–at least for comparable houses. So that is a paradox of sorts. Why don’t all the single family house renters buy houses? These days, with low interest rate mortgages and low down payments, that is happening. The rate of homeownership is now higher than any time in history. Or it was a few months ago. I think it is starting to drift down a little because of the weak economy.

So it is harder to find good renters today in a lot of the country. The good ones have bought houses. Maybe from you and other rehab and retail flip folk.

Now you know all I know about cash flow with houses.

Good InvestingRon Starr***

Re: SFR Positive Cash Flow Question - Posted by Dave T

Posted by Dave T on December 19, 2002 at 21:37:53:

I have several rentals, and in the aggregate my net operating income is around 57% of my adjusted gross income (Scheduled income minus 8.33% vacancy). My operating expenses do include professional property management, so you might be able to get a higher return if you do your own property management.

I am expecting cash flow to approach 20% of adjusted gross income. For the numbers, I gave remember that I own several rental properties with equity ranging from 100% to 20%. I should also note that I do not own any SFRs, but instead, find that condos and townhomes with purchase prices in the $50K - $75K range allow me to keep my debt service fairly low in relation to market rents.

My rule of thumb for each investment rental property I purchase is that the Net Operating Income should be at least 125% of debt service. This way, I am confident that I will have sufficient cash flow to address unplanned emergency repairs.

Re: SFR Positive Cash Flow Question - Posted by Zack

Posted by Zack on December 19, 2002 at 19:13:52:

I am an agent in Georgia and I work with a number of real estate investors. Most of them are happy with $100 positive cash flow per deal which is much lower than 45%, however if you can get a property with 4 or 5 bedrooms and go section 8 with it you should be able to accomplish that. We are currently getting permits to build a duplex for a guy to put on the section 8 program, and his cost is around 125,000, since it will have 2 4 bedroom units he is expecting $2400 per month gross, which should put him well over 45%. So it is possible just takes some work. I believe I can find you some properties with a good cash flow, if you’re interested send me an email or give me call

Zack Kram
zack@bozacrealty.com
Off: 678-432-8448
Fax: 678-432-0017

Re: SFHs–Costs, Income, and an oxymoron? - Posted by Kristine-CA

Posted by Kristine-CA on December 20, 2002 at 14:25:57:

Ron Starr: thank you your post. I always enjoy reading your views about rental property. Although you state that you do not have statistical evidence that prices in OK are about the same as 1990, I suspect that your impression is correct. In some of the areas of Kern county, CA, where I work that are working class, with oil virtually the only industry, there has been no appreciation for houses under 75K In fact , there has been depreciation. When the oil fields are fully open and running, the low-end housing market is at it’s peak Over-the top prices aided by lease/options and owner financing. The pool of buyers being workers who have lots of cash when they are working and no credit due to the transient nature of the work. Oil workers move between OK, TX, AR and CA–wherever the work is.

I wouldn’t be at all surprised if all areas like this, especially the more rural, isolated areas, experience low or no appreciation regardless of the national economy or real estate booms.

Sincerely, Kristine

Re: SFHs–Costs, Income, and an oxymoron? - Posted by JHyre in Ohio

Posted by JHyre in Ohio on December 20, 2002 at 08:40:38:

Nice post Ron. Thanks.

John Hyre

PS: I don’t care for some of JTR’s “Do Not Recomends”, among other things. But his books are good and Whitney had no idea what he was getting into!

Re: SFHs–Costs, Income, and an oxymoron? - Posted by Eric - GA

Posted by Eric - GA on December 20, 2002 at 07:08:53:

Thanks Ron, I’m thankful for your experience. What I got from it is that costs can vary quite a bit, but if a person plans to be their own property manager (i.e. have enough properties to justify this), and is willing to ACTIVELY manage their properties, then they can likely keep their real costs below 35%, which is what I was counting on.

In the town I went to college in, the current median home sales price is between $60K and $80K, and you can get a good, decent 3/2 home for $70K. On the flip side, a house like this rents for $900/mo (with no utilities included). Most of the town’s rental population is due to the college (growing vibrantly), so these renters do have a good reason to pay more than the cost of ownership, and their rents are backed up by their parents. If I had known anything about real estate while i was there, I probably would have never left.

I’ve noticed before that you were a student of the John Reed school of thought. While I have some experience, I know that I am too new to accurately say whether he is right on most stuff. What I do know is that I appreciate a hard-nosed, conservative approach that also takes into account the ethics of what you’re doing, and he does try to put this together. He is pretty conservative though. I’ve never seen a picture, but I imagine he wears a bow-tie.

EXCELLENT POST RON! nt - Posted by Dee-Texas

Posted by Dee-Texas on December 20, 2002 at 07:03:33:

Re: SFHs–Costs, Income, and an oxymoron? - Posted by James Strange

Posted by James Strange on December 20, 2002 at 24:08:34:

Some time back I was surfing the net and came across a link to John T. Reed’s Real estate guru ratings. After reading it and seeing that he was selling his own material this left a very bad impression on me.

Any one who resorts to that kind of marketing to sell his own material is not someone that I can take seriously.

Zack, you misunderstood - Posted by Eric - GA

Posted by Eric - GA on December 19, 2002 at 19:51:25:

I’m asking about operating expenses being 45%. This means that if you collect $1000/mo in rent, $450 of that would go to operating expenses, which don’t include your P & I. See how it’s hard to make positive cash flow then? If you have to fit your mortgage payment and profit all in 1000-450 = $550/mo. I’m wondering if people with significant experience handling their own rentals have operating expenses at 45%.

Eric - GA

Re: SFHs–Costs, Income, and an oxymoron? - Posted by Ronald * Starr (in No CA)

Posted by Ronald * Starr (in No CA) on December 20, 2002 at 16:40:53:

Kristine–(CA)-------------------

Thanks for the comments.

As others have commented, the real estate markets are all local. While they can be influenced some by national events, such as loan interest rates, tax law changes, and perhaps insurance industry rates, they are more strongly influenced by local economic condititiions, I feel.

A couple of days ago an investor in the Wichita KS area commented that the city’s economy is very dependent upon the aircraft assembly industry. And the builders of aircraft are laying off lots of workers now. Cessna laid off 1500 just this month. So, there is likely to be a local recession there: housing prices will probably drop. Meanwhile, Chico, CA and probably Bakersfield, too, are doing fine.

I wonder how North Platte Nebraska is doing? Most people don’t invest there, but there are some CA investors who do, according to a real estate broker I tlke to there a few years ago.

Good Investing****Ron Starr*****************

Re: SFHs–Costs, Income, and an oxymoron? - Posted by Ronald * Starr(in No CA)

Posted by Ronald * Starr(in No CA) on December 20, 2002 at 16:14:51:

John Hyre–(CA)—

Thnank you.

Well, I think some of his do not recommends are off also. But his recommends are all good in my opinion. I also think his books are either good or excellent. And his “special reports,” which are not big enough to call books and which are not bulked up with white space, extra pages, and ommittable fluff to fool people into thinking they are books.

Can we conclude that Whitney is dumb? I would think before sueing Reed that he would have read JTR’s website, books, and maybe newsletter. Then talked to peole who knew Jack. If he had done some homework, it would likely, in my estimation, not done what he done. I have predicted it before, and I do again: Whitney will give up this lawsuit before it ever goes to trial. Don’t mess with Jack Reed when you are not spotless.

Good Investing and Good EducatingRon Starr

Re: SFHs–Costs, Income, and an oxymoron? - Posted by Ronald * Starr(in No CA)

Posted by Ronald * Starr(in No CA) on December 20, 2002 at 15:42:28:

Eric–(GA)--------

You’re welcome. I think you may be able to do well in GA also.

Gee, didn’t you see the post that said that Jack Reed is a “liberal?” Jack is a casual dresser, never wears ties. Afterall he was a successful real estate investor and now is a successful publisher/writer. He does not impose a dress code upon himself. When you get rich with real estate you can wear pretty much anything you want. I’ve never had a renter complain that I violated the landlords’ sartorial code.

Good InvestingRon Starr*****

Re: SFHs–Costs, Income, and an oxymoron? - Posted by Nate(DC)

Posted by Nate(DC) on December 20, 2002 at 09:59:50:

Eric,

Where’d you go to college? :wink:

NT

Re: SFHs–Costs, Income, and an oxymoron? - Posted by Ronald * Starr(in No CA)

Posted by Ronald * Starr(in No CA) on December 20, 2002 at 15:09:00:

James Strange

You say, about Jack Reed: 'Any one who resorts to that kind of marketing to sell his own material
is not someone that I can take seriously." While you may choose to not take him seriously, I think you could if you wanted to do.

I feel frustrated when read comments such as yours. I don’t understand them. I wonder if you would be willing to say what you do not like? And, I will put this in some context.

It is my view that we as real estate investors want to find good education about real estate investing. From my many years of studying the topic, I feel that there is a lot of junk written about real estate investing. And even the nationally-known, long-time book publishers put out a lot of mediocre and unneccessary books that don’t add much to the body of knowledge available to us. And then when you get into the self-publishing materials, we find a lot of variability, more so than in the edited books, it seems to me. Some are good, a very few are excellent, many are mediocre, and more that I like to see are poor, bad, and terrible. Even worthless, from my perspective. And some of the self-publishers charge very high prices compared to the major publishing firms.

So, when I find an an author who puts out multiple good and excellent publications, I cherish him or her. And when those materials are at what I consider a reasonable price, such as those of Jack Reed, my tighwad nature gives a cheer.

So, while some people may choose to not read his writings, what can I say? That is their choice. But one of my goals is to help people understand real estate investing. Otherwise I would not answer so many questions–for free. So, I like to recommend people they can read to help them.

I get frustrated trying to help people who say “I refuse to read John T. Reed’s materials.” Well, really is no skin off my nose. However, I feel like I would like to offer them something so they can, if they choose, revisit their decision to ignore Reed’s materials. But, I cannot, for the life of me understand what they are complaining about. So, I was hoping you could tell me your view on the matter.

Now, here is a link to Jack’s explanation of why he maintains the guru ratings, in case you have not seen it before. I suspect that your view of him and his motives is negative for some reason which is not taking into account this information.

http://www.johntreed.com/why.html

Good InvestingRon Starr**

Re: SFHs–Costs, Income, and an oxymoron? - Posted by ChrisW

Posted by ChrisW on December 20, 2002 at 24:58:21:

So you get that impression about him too, eh?

: )

He’s good at one thing and I’ll give him that.
And that’s getting link popularity in the search engines by talking and linking to related sites.

Chris

Re: Zack, you misunderstood - Posted by Zack

Posted by Zack on December 19, 2002 at 21:10:40:

I meant total expenses including debt service. 45% without P&I is very high, for example:

If rent is $1000/mo

$100.00 Property Management(Optional 10% of rent)
$20.00 Reserve Fund($250 per unit/year)
$83.30 Insurance(Estimated $1000/year)
$166.70 Taxes(Estimated $2000/year)
$50.00 Repairs(Estimated)

$420.00 Total or 42% expenses

Even with these VERY conservative numbers it’s still not at 45%. If it’s a sfh and you manage it yourself take off $120 per month that leaves you with $300 or 30% expenses before debt service, this is much more realisitic.