Posted by Michael Morrongiello on April 19, 2010 at 22:55:01:
Lee- there are a few “wrinkles” in your thinking.
-
Your SELLING the home for $30K (that is typically the value we will use for the home NOT the alleged $50K value- now after 12 months of timely payments we can consider the enhanced value but not right away)
-
Your selling the home to an INVESTOR (non owner occupant) Versus a homeowner user (investor payors are looked upon with more RISK than a person actually living in the home as their primary dwelling)
-
Your selling the home with a VERY light cash down payment (not even 10% cash down)- we like to see far more cash down on newer unseasoned “paper” deals. This is the “skin in the game” philosiphy which has become so important these days…
-
Your selling to an investor with MARGINAL credit and credit scores. These days most loans are geared to investors with 680+ credit scores.
Now where are the Positives here? - There aren’t too many except for the 6 payments paid.
- In 6 Months the UPB - unpaid balance due on the Note will be $26,721.99…this leaves 114 installments left to run and amortize the Note balance
A 19% YTM- Yield to Maturity funds $19,275.59
The return appears strong but it is the FUNDING EXPOSURE which is risky.
Given the # of negative weak factors above the pricing on this type of deal will be funding exposure driven (forget about yield!).
Remember the old cliche’; “Return OF your Capital is far more important than the Return ON your Capital…”
This deal will price either as a PARTIAL sale of the Note or somewhere around $15,000.00 to $16,000.00 for a FULL BUYOUT of this Risky note.
This is the mindset of most astute paper investors in todays market where on newer, unproven, or limited seasoning “paper” the emphasis continues to be on STRONG EQUITY and CREDIT.
Continued best to your success;
Michael Morrongiello
Paper Practioner
www.sunvestinc.com
Author of the following home study courses;
Paper Into Cash - The Convertible Currency - How to Effectively Create Marketable Real Estate Notes
&
The Unity of Real Estate & “Paper” - Advanced techniques for both the acquisition and disposition of properties using Real Estate “paper”