Re: Need help with wholesale $ figures - Posted by Jim Kennedy - Houston, TX
Posted by Jim Kennedy - Houston, TX on January 21, 2003 at 11:13:36:
Hi Shannon,
As Jennifer has noted, don’t try to get too greedy. Find out the numbers that rehabbers in your area use to analyze a deal. Then calculate your maximum offer based on those numbers.
You wrote, “Some people have advised wholesaling where they will recieve 20,000”. (sic) I don’t know to whom you’re referring, nor do I know in what context they mentioned the figure of $20K. If I understand your post correctly, the $20K figure is the anticipated profit to the rehabber rather than the wholesaler. If that’s the case, they might have meant to say a rehabber would look for a MINIMUM of $20K.
You also wrote, “This property needs a lot of work and I was thinking that 30,000 profit would be fair”. Quite frankly, what you think is fair is virtually irrelevant. What counts, is what the “marketplace” thinks is fair. Or, to put it more accurately, what the market will bear.
The reason that LeGrand’s formula of ARV x 70% - Repairs = MAO works so well is that the “soft costs” can generally be calculated as a percentage of the ARV. By soft costs, I mean all of the costs related to the acquisition, holding, and disposition of the property. 70% is the reciprocal of 30%. 30% is the figure many rehabbers use to calculate soft cost plus profit. However, when you start dealing in houses that are significantly more expensive than the average homes in your area, the formula may not hold true. The acquisition and disposition factors remain constant as a percentage of the ARV, however, the holding costs can increase significantly. Why? Because more expensive homes tend to take longer to sell.
In my market, the median price of homes is about $130K. I focus my rehabbing efforts in the $85K to $150K price range. The most expensive rehab I’ve ever done had an ARV of $250K. The most expensive “pretty house” deal I’ve ever done had a FMV of $380K. Whenever I’m dealing with homes that are significantly more expensive than the median price for homes in my area, I look for a higher spread in order to cover higher holding costs due to a longer marketing time frame.
Shannon, you didn’t mention the average price of homes in your area. If $240K is within the average range (as it is in many markets), LeGrand’s formula may very well suffice. If, on the other hand, $240K is significantly higher than average for your market, you may need to adjust the formula.
Michaela has alluded to the “risk/reward ratio” involved in rehabbing. A rehabber is taking on a considerable amount of risk, not to mention the amount of work necessary to complete a rehab project. Most rehabbers establish a risk threshold that they find acceptable. As rehabbers, we are entitled to be compensated for both the risk and the work required.
Like Michaela, I too use 65% in my formula. Find out what the rehabbers in YOUR area look for and you’ll know not only what you can pay for properties in order to make a wholesale profit but also how to price them so that they’ll be attractive to your target buyers (rehabbers).
Hope this helps.
Best of Success!!
Jim Kennedy,
Houston, TX
“Life is a unique combination of ‘want to’ and 'how to,” and we need to give equal attention to both".
Jim Rohn