Making offers on notes and need some help.... - Posted by John-VA

Posted by David Butler on December 18, 2001 at 12:41:39:

Hello John,

Awfully difficult to work through deals in a Discussion Forum, and as you might gather from previous attempts to do so in the many threads down below - one of the big problems is the many variables that have to be reviewed and analysed in order to get any kind of meaningful quote on most types of note instruments…

Rate and terms are only a tiny part of the equation. So, on a basic real estate note for example… you have a $20,000 note balance, paying down at $268.65 p/m, with 117 payments left. How much will some body pay for that note???

Here are just a few things a fellow would have to know…
How was note created? Owner Carryback Other
what type of real estate?
Location?
When sold?
Property Value?
What was Down Payment?
Payor Credit?
Lien position of Note?
1st payment made when?
Last Payment made when?
All payments current?

Depending on the answers, along with other due diligence, discount price fo that $20,000 note could range anywhere from maybe $12,000… all the way up to possibly as much as possibly $19,000. Quite a spread, I’m sure you’ll agree. And quite meaningless, if you are trying to figure out how to price the thing, right?
Unless of course, you are the only game in town, and you know the seller will take the bottom end of the range! Then you’ve hit a home run… but, until that other information is provided to an end-buyer, you won’t really know how much you can sell it for.

Structured settlements have their whole slew of similar varibables, beginning with:

what state has jurisdiction?
what are the complete terms of thes settlement agreement?
what does the annuity contract say?
who is the underwriter for the annuity?
what is the beneficiary’s economic status right now? what is beneficiary’s intermediate economic status (will he have sufficient income to live on if the payments are sold?)
what does he want or need the money for (many states severely restrict the circumstances under which these payments can be sold)?

Many, many structured settlements have clauses prohibiting assignment, and many states have set-up legislation that makes it difficult as well. Though recent state and federal cooperative legislation has tilted the field slightly back into our favor… the answers to the above questions will determine whether the deal can be done, and if so, at what price???

On the face of your deal… all things being equal, the fellow should be able to get his $50,000 for roughly somewhere between maybe as little as 80 of those monthly payments, all the way up to as much as maybe 125 or so of them.

The answers to the questions I have posed above, as well as some others that would factor into the equation, would determine a more accurate price range!

Feel free to email privately if you have some interest in doing something with the structured settlement. I may be able to help you with the auto paper as well, if the portfolios are over $100,000. Don’t know anything about them, but I do have an investor who does buy them in large lots, and he is always bugging me to find him some.

Best wishes for your success!

David P. Butler

Making offers on notes and need some help… - Posted by John-VA

Posted by John-VA on December 18, 2001 at 10:22:29:

I got a portfolio of notes the other day that I am looking through to make some offers on (my first ones). There are two notes in there that definitely seem to have very good potential, but I’m a little unsure about them, or the offer to make on them. One is $30,000 loan secured by auto paper contracts. It pays $747.50 a month (interest only payment) with a balloon of $30,000 due. What kind of discount might you look for on this note, or does that all depend on the number of payments you have remaining? The second one I’m curious about is a guy looking to sell part of his structured settlement. He’s looking for $50,000 cash now for 120 payments of $1000 monthly. On surface this looks really good, but given the time value of money, 12 years down the road that $1000 a month doesn’t seem quite as good. Or am I just out of my mind here? Any and all help is appreciated here. I have my offers constructed on the SFR’s in the package, but these two I was a little unsure of.

John

Re: Making offers on notes and need some help… - Posted by TomCFI

Posted by TomCFI on April 04, 2002 at 08:12:03:

Sounds like a very interesting situation, John. I was curious though about how you found this portfolio?

Re: Making offers on notes and need some help… - Posted by Ronald * Starr(in No CA)

Posted by Ronald * Starr(in No CA) on December 18, 2001 at 20:04:56:

John---------

I couldn’t work on my calculator, so I did a quick analysis with a spreadsheet. The $50K payment for 120 $1000 payments works out to between 20 and 22 annual return on the $ 50K investment. Probably close to 21%.

If it pays off prior to the ten years, of course, you get an even higher return.

Good InvestingRon Starr****