Re: investing in triple net lease properties - Posted by Don M
Posted by Don M on December 04, 2004 at 12:09:22:
I’ve looked into them quite a bit but never could pull the trigger. It seems like most of them are priced for perfection. I came across a file folder I put together in 2000, and the cap rates were much better than today. If you would have bought then and wanted to sell today, you’d make great money. But as Carlos said, if you buy today and cap rates rise and you want to sell, you take a hit.
Also, you have to assume that down the road the 20 year old Walgreens building is going to be worth more than today. Maybe, maybe not. Will Walgreens renew the lease, or will it go dark and now you have to do something?
Most of the buyers are getting into them through 1031 tax-deferred exchanges. So because they are deferring taxes, the deal is worth more to them and they in effect are bidding up the prices to a point where a “regular” investor has more downside than upside.
The brokers in these tell me that inventory is scarce. “I wish I had more to sell!” So it is a seller’s market. The whole thing reeks of a bubble to me.
At 9% you can get a Dollar General store. They have a barely investment grade credit rating. And you’ll be buying a very cheap steel building that in 20 years will look like, well, a cheap 20 year old steel building.
As you can tell, I’m not that excited about it any more. I think it would be better to network and find deals where you could be a passive investor. They are mentioned here on CRE, and of course you have to be sure of the people and the deal, so it’s not as simple as buying a NNN long-termed leased to an investement-grade credit national tenant. But there are different kinds of risk either way, and I’m leaning towards investing into projects where I can deal face to face with a person or group, see what’s being done, understand the project, etc. etc.
Hope this helps?
-Don M