Re: Help with value of gas station property - Posted by ray@lcorn
Posted by ray@lcorn on August 22, 2005 at 20:05:38:
Jolene,
Ok, what you’ve got is a ground lease from a major oil company for a station in a small town that produces enough revenue to be a good candidate for lease renewal. The increase isn’t noteworthy, but the property has an income stream with a long enough duration to be considered by outside buyers.
I’m assuming the lease is signed by the major oil company rather than a smaller subsidiary.
Generally, ground leases signed by major corporations trade in a range of 6% to 7% yield on the purchase price, also known as a cap rate. The lower the rate, the higher the value, and vice versa.
But there are a couple of wrinkles here that would put this property at the high end of that range, thus lowering the value.
First, the income is very low, so the universe of buyers will be limited to local investors.
Second, if the owner must pay the property taxes (as you indicated below), without the tenant’s reimbursement, then that further lowers the income.
$4,800 - $960 = $3,840
One way of determining the value is based solely on the income stream, using the cap rate as the yield available to the investor. Hence, if the investor is willing to settle for a 7% yield on the investment and were paying all cash, the value would be about $55,000. ($3,840 / 7% = $54,857)
However, given the small size of the deal and the likely buyers being local investors, in an open and well-attended auction they would probably bid somewhere around a 10% to 15% yield ($38,400 @ 10%; $25,600 @ 15%).
For a range of value then, you’ve got the assessed value of $16T up to a max of $38T.
There several additional factors that could influence the value above that high end of the range, but probably not below the low end.
I should have also asked the size (acreage) of the property and whether the station’s building or other structures are on the property or just adjacent. That speaks to residual value after the lease expires. Some investors may use that to increase their overall return. If the property is well-located and in the direction of area growth patterns, then the long-term residual value could be significant.
And, if you really want to split hairs, it could make a difference if the lease can be subordinated to a loan. By leveraging their funds with a loan an investor can boost the return, and hence be able to pay more.
Let me ask this… if you were to be successful in purchasing the property, what do you intend to do, keep it or re-sell it?
ray