Posted by Ronald * Starr(in No CA) on April 20, 2003 at 06:44:45:
Al------------------------
I’d check carefully the numbers. Here in the San Fran Bay Areas, all properties appreciate the same amount over the long run–say 10 years or more. There was a discussion of appreciation a couple of months ago whereby somebody in the midwest claimed that the appreciation in some neighborhoods there was higher than in other neighborhoods. I have not seen the statistics to verify this, however. Jack Reed is of the same opinion that I am, that the rate of increase in property values is about the same, over the long term, for properties of different values. His data was different, though–he used appreciation in different cities of different average value in the Midwest.
Here in the San Fran Bay Area, there will be short periods, say three or four years when some neighborhoods will surge in value vs others. Could be low-priced ones going up faster. Could the high-priced ones going up faster. Then, for a while the lesser-appreciating neighborhoods will “catch up” by appreciating faster.
You might consider, if you want to build up a portfolio faster, concentrating on buying properties with the help of owner financing, with low down payments. Then you will not have to worry about the appreciation on the ones that you already own.
If you go that route, try to target the rental properties, not the owner-occupied ones, as they usually need their equity to buy another one. The exception might be older owner-occupants who have saved money. Still, the rental properties are probably your best target.
Good InvestingRon Starr**