Re: Besides MHs … GOLD and SILVER - Posted by James
Posted by James on October 30, 2005 at 19:52:43:
Gold and Silver are the truest form of money/investment.
Silver has a geological ratio to gold of 17:1, however is currently priced at 60:1 relative to gold. I would suggest up to 20% of your investments in Silver for the foreseeable future. Go to www.kitco.com for daily spot pricing. Your local gun/coin shops will have rounds and bars for you to buy and hold.
Our ‘money’ is no money at all, it is a fiat monetary system. You will note that Lonnie does what the Federal Reserve System, a private bank does. He creates money out of thin air for borrowers. The Federal Reserve does it for its biggest customer, the US Government, and also for borrowing customers of member banks.
Since its inception in 1913, the Federal Reserve System has inflated 96% of the value out of the currency, the FRN. Since it will necessarily have no value at or before 100%, gold and silver are going to be tradeable for your needs, and with a little work, are now tradeable for all your daily necessities.
Given the spread, I suggest a 100% (of your above designated metal investment budget) silver holding until the ratio closes and then a omnimetalist look at opportunities in other metals, notably, but not exclusively, gold. Platinum is possibly a good move, as well. Palladium rarely makes sense.
Short term future pricing for gold is rumored often in the low thousands per ouce. When that price comes, it will come quickly, as in 1980. The ratio, notably, in 1980 closed to $850 Gold, and $50 Silver. A ratio of 17:1. The message is that geological ratios tend to pull the market into compliance when the prices surge, and thus, silver will achive a greater geometric progression in pricing relative to golds’ surging price.
Notably, last November I last saw a LOT of silver available at the coin shop. 3 weeks later, the 2 show boxes of inventory were gone, that is over 500 ounces in 3 weeks. The coin store does it supply purchasing over the counter, and not buying commercially. They have been very, VERY skinny for a year now, and that will contiue.
The gain since then has been over 10%, straight, not including a serious price dip since then. I very much wanted to sell and rebuy, and make some FRN’s, however, I had commited my silver to other purposes already.
I, lastly, shall point out that the various national banks of the world have OVERSOLD their gold holdings from 5,000 TONS to over 25,000 TONS, depending on the expert and his information and opinion. I often point out to friends who pay attention that you will note no one is suggesting a number undre 3,000 tons oversold at all. NOT ONE GOLD EXPERT says that the gold holdings of the worlds’ national banks is held in a responsible manner!
This also impacts the gold market, and indirectly, the silver market. Gold must be purchased to physically satisfy the banks’ holding rquirements at some point. That tonnage needed alone eclipses the worlds’ annual gold production of 2500 tons by from 2 years supply to 10.
I humbly suggest a bit of silver. I have as much as I can get, and I shall get more.
Lastly, WHEN the next economic slowdown occurs, and your holdings sag to lets say, 50% of their current value, then the 10-20% held in metals will surge and recover your losses, or seriously mitigate them. with a minor doubling or tripling of the value of the given metal…which historically happens in those circumstances. So…
(I might mention now, that metal trading from metal to metal is prvate, and not taxed. It is a trading of property, as surely as trading cars and pickups. Do not convert or allow representation in FRNs to avoid a taxable event.)