Don’t think so - Posted by B.L.Renfrow
Posted by B.L.Renfrow on January 08, 2004 at 16:37:04:
I don’t see much of a deal here. The first thing I notice from your post is the unmotivated seller. This guy has had trouble making the payments in the past, is having trouble now, needs cash and yet is holding out for over 90% of FMV. While this is common, it also tells you the guy is unmotivated/unrealistic.
Next, unless these numbers are typical for your area, you can assume the holding time (as well as holding costs) will be significant. In most places, there just aren’t that many buyers (or T/Bers) for houses in this price range.
The fact is, most folks who can afford a $420-450k house and a $12k option payment aren’t going to have much trouble getting a conventional loan. Sure, now and then you’ll run into one who can’t or doesn’t want to, but it might be a very long time until that person shows up.
Can you afford the holding costs until you find a qualified T/Ber? For most people just starting out, it wouldn’t take too many $3k monthly payments to wipe them out, if there’s no income from the property.
There MAY be some “big equity” here…but remember also that comps in this price range are also notoriously unreliable, because there often just aren’t that many of them, and the properties tend to be unique in nature. And while the seller may indeed be headed for a “big problem”, he doesn’t see it yet.
I’d tell the guy to go ahead and list it, and give him your card and tell him to give you a call in a few months if it doesn’t work out. If he ever gets to the point where he’s ready just to have the loans paid off (and maybe a few thousand extra), then take an option on the property and do your best to market it. That would be a far safer route than trying to L/O the thing now.
Brian (NY)